Thursday, 20 December 2012

Lundbeck expects falling profits

Danish pharmaceutical company H. Lundbeck A/S (OMX: LUN), which focuses on central nervous system drugs communicated near term plans yesterday. ITs financial guidance for 2013 was significantly below expectations with new investments and high R&D expenditures expected with Lu AE58054 pivotal Alzheimer trials on tap. Launch of new products including Selincro™ and Brintellix™will also be costly. This all compounds the Lexapro (and impending Cipralex) patent protection loss revenue impact.

The preliminary revenue guidance is 14.1-14.7 DKK and EBIT is expected to fall in between 1.6-2.1 billion. The following year sales are expected to dip further to around 14 billion while EBIT is expected to show a similar trajectory and fall below 1 billion but above half a billion. Previously EBIT guidance was above 2 billion for both years. Markets have been giving the company a beating. The stock retreated 15% yesterday and it is still showing weakness today following some downgrades and overall poor sentiment in the pharmaceutical industry following some high profile trial failures from smaller biotech companies.

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